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Red76
861350.4
752616.1
713026.5
Blue111
850346.4
971515.0
950141.1
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9285406010012014016076111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+25
Fouls+35
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points6
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
10Coral scored#15
37Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
57Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
2Foul points12
76Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8613
#11
50.40.9
43.542.6
Auto10.1
Teleop34.7
End5.6
red by 4.0
46.41.3
35.837.1
Auto6.5
Teleop30.3
End9.5
Second
7130
#20
26.50.9
22.021.1
Auto5.4
Teleop18.3
End2.8
blue by 14.6
9501
#14
41.12.2
33.035.2
Auto5.8
Teleop31.8
End3.5
Third
7526
#27
16.10.9
16.615.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.7
red by 1.1
9715
#34
15.02.2
10.312.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsEarned