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Red70
856911.9
859536.8
907923.0
Blue45
880522.2
87909.3
624517.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766320401001201407045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+11Teleop
+19Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
7Coral scored#6
25Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
29Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#8
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
6Foul points0
70Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.5
28.828.3
Auto11.2
Teleop21.7
End3.9
red by 14.6
8805
#32
22.21.6
16.715.1
Auto2.2
Teleop16.7
End3.3
Second
23.00.5
22.221.7
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End5.6
red by 5.7
6245
#17
17.31.6
23.722.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.0
Third
8569
#36
11.90.5
12.411.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End1.0
red by 2.6
8790
#35
9.31.6
13.211.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed