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Red122
912643.7
763618.3
763245.0
Blue118
802036.5
699837.5
764527.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8789607080100110120122118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+8Teleop
Endgame+2
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave0
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points16
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
13Coral scored#18
48Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
68Total teleop88
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#6
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
6Foul points0
122Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.04.0
33.437.4
Auto10.0
Teleop32.9
End2.0
red by 7.4
6998
#16
37.54.3
19.023.4
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Second
43.74.0
28.632.6
Auto13.9
Teleop27.6
End2.2
red by 7.2
36.54.3
32.937.2
Auto3.9
Teleop25.0
End7.6
Third
7636
#30
18.34.0
14.918.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End1.7
blue by 9.6
7645
#33
27.84.3
24.428.7
Auto6.2
Teleop19.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned