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Red72
624517.3
1039011.8
880626.4
Blue85
971515.0
763618.3
758923.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7449204060801007285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+29
Endgame+27
Fouls+13
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +29
9Coral scored#12
33Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
43Total teleop72
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
14Foul points0
72Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8806
#15
26.42.5
22.820.3
Auto3.9
Teleop17.3
End5.1
red by 2.6
7589
#10
23.81.8
16.718.5
Auto3.9
Teleop19.3
End0.6
Second
6245
#17
17.32.5
22.119.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.0
blue by 1.0
7636
#30
18.31.8
18.920.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End1.7
Third
11.82.5
17.915.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
blue by 3.2
9715
#34
15.01.8
12.514.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed