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Red107
907923.0
802036.5
694729.1
Blue86
950141.1
713026.5
588315.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9285608010012014010786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+5
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +21
10Coral scored#14
37Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
51Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
26Foul points0
107Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.50.8
36.836.1
Auto3.9
Teleop25.0
End7.6
blue by 4.5
9501
#14
41.10.6
35.235.8
Auto5.8
Teleop31.8
End3.5
Second
6947
#13
29.10.8
25.724.9
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End4.9
red by 2.6
7130
#20
26.50.6
21.121.7
Auto5.4
Teleop18.3
End2.8
Third
23.00.8
22.321.5
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End5.6
red by 7.2
5883
#22
15.80.6
21.922.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed