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Red98
1003414.8
816928.9
861350.4
Blue50
87909.3
764527.8
856911.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98532040801201401609850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+44Teleop
+42Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
15Coral scored#7
53Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
75Total teleop35
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
6Foul points0
98Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8613
#11
50.41.1
47.548.6
Auto10.1
Teleop34.7
End5.6
red by 22.6
7645
#33
27.80.4
30.029.6
Auto6.2
Teleop19.4
End2.2
Second
8169
#23
28.91.1
23.124.1
Auto4.5
Teleop23.9
End0.4
red by 17.0
8569
#36
11.90.4
11.711.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End1.0
Third
14.81.1
11.913.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.1
red by 5.5
8790
#35
9.30.4
12.211.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed