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Red92
1011423.1
752616.1
912643.7
Blue90
858418.5
956413.4
942740.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8562401001201409290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+2
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
11Coral scored#13
39Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
59Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
6Foul points2
92Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.71.3
40.341.6
Auto13.9
Teleop27.6
End2.2
red by 3.2
9427
#19
40.63.5
30.734.2
Auto11.4
Teleop28.9
End0.3
Second
23.11.3
18.419.7
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End4.0
red by 4.6
8584
#24
18.53.5
13.116.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End3.4
Third
7526
#27
16.11.3
15.516.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.7
red by 2.7
9564
#26
13.43.5
12.616.1
Auto1.6
Teleop10.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed