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Red124
624517.3
872539.6
425347.1
Blue50
300820.6
749718.9
763618.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12073406010014016018012450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+50Teleop
+64Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
22Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +40
14Coral scored#6
52Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
74Total teleop34
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
22Game pieces#11
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
12Foul points2
124Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.10.7
39.940.5
Auto12.5
Teleop27.2
End7.5
red by 26.5
3008
#29
20.63.0
19.716.7
Auto3.9
Teleop16.5
End0.2
Second
39.61.1
36.737.8
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.4
red by 20.7
7497
#31
18.93.0
25.322.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.8
End1.4
Third
6245
#17
17.31.1
19.620.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.0
blue by 1.0
7636
#30
18.33.0
20.717.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed