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Red72
699837.5
872321.4
971515.0
Blue121
850346.4
880626.4
767320.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67932040608010012014072121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+35
Endgame+43
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +29
10Coral scored#17
37Coral points60
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
12Processor points18
8Net points8
20Algae points26
57Total teleop86
Reef
3L4#8
4L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points6
72Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6998
#16
37.50.4
28.328.7
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
blue by 8.9
46.42.0
41.743.7
Auto6.5
Teleop30.3
End9.5
Second
8723
#37
21.40.4
17.818.3
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End1.0
blue by 4.9
8806
#15
26.43.4
20.323.7
Auto3.9
Teleop17.3
End5.1
Third
9715
#34
15.00.4
14.414.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End1.8
blue by 5.3
7673
#28
20.32.0
13.715.7
Auto3.4
Teleop14.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned