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Red75
1039011.8
859536.8
880522.2
Blue123
770945.1
763245.0
858513.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83108406010012014016075123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+62
Endgame+50
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +48
7Coral scored#16
26Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
36Total teleop84
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
2Foul points0
75Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.81.5
33.231.7
Auto11.2
Teleop21.7
End3.9
blue by 8.3
45.11.4
38.139.6
Auto9.4
Teleop34.5
End1.2
Second
8805
#32
22.21.5
22.721.3
Auto2.2
Teleop16.7
End3.3
blue by 22.7
45.01.4
38.740.1
Auto10.0
Teleop32.9
End2.0
Third
11.81.5
15.313.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
blue by 1.6
8585
#25
13.41.4
16.017.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed