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Red78
880522.2
767320.3
971515.0
Blue96
956413.4
907923.0
763245.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63982040801201407896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+30
Endgame+32
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +23
11Coral scored#16
39Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
53Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
14Foul points0
78Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8805
#32
22.20.0
21.321.3
Auto2.2
Teleop16.7
End3.3
blue by 22.7
45.01.0
40.141.1
Auto10.0
Teleop32.9
End2.0
Second
7673
#28
20.30.0
15.715.7
Auto3.4
Teleop14.2
End2.7
blue by 2.7
23.01.0
21.522.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End5.6
Third
9715
#34
15.00.0
14.814.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End1.8
red by 1.6
9564
#26
13.41.0
16.117.1
Auto1.6
Teleop10.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed