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Red103
1011423.1
699837.5
749718.9
Blue85
861350.4
872321.4
880626.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78109406010012014016010385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+6Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +16
15Coral scored#11
53Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
71Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
103Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6998
#16
37.53.6
28.732.3
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
blue by 12.9
8613
#11
50.40.6
48.648.0
Auto10.1
Teleop34.7
End5.6
Second
23.13.6
19.723.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End4.0
blue by 3.2
8806
#15
26.40.6
23.723.1
Auto3.9
Teleop17.3
End5.1
Third
7497
#31
18.93.6
22.425.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.8
End1.4
blue by 2.6
8723
#37
21.40.6
18.317.6
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed