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Red147
763245.0
425347.1
880626.4
Blue89
713026.5
856911.9
880522.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133715010015014789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+50Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +32
21Coral scored#13
75Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
103Total teleop71
Reef
8L4#4
9L3#6
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#20
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
147Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.11.4
43.144.5
Auto12.5
Teleop27.2
End7.5
red by 20.6
7130
#20
26.50.7
26.126.7
Auto5.4
Teleop18.3
End2.8
Second
45.02.1
41.143.3
Auto10.0
Teleop32.9
End2.0
red by 22.7
8805
#32
22.20.7
21.322.0
Auto2.2
Teleop16.7
End3.3
Third
8806
#15
26.42.1
23.125.2
Auto3.9
Teleop17.3
End5.1
red by 14.5
8569
#36
11.90.7
15.015.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed