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Red46
971515.0
1039011.8
764527.8
Blue103
872539.6
1011423.1
950141.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58123010015020046103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+49
Endgame+59
Fouls+57
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +49
4Coral scored#13
14Coral points47
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
22Total teleop71
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
2Foul points0
46Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7645
#33
27.81.4
31.730.3
Auto6.2
Teleop19.4
End2.2
blue by 13.3
9501
#14
41.10.0
39.639.6
Auto5.8
Teleop31.8
End3.5
Second
9715
#34
15.01.4
14.813.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End1.8
blue by 24.6
39.60.0
39.839.8
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.4
Third
11.81.4
11.29.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
blue by 11.3
23.10.0
23.323.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned