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Red79
624517.3
770945.1
956413.4
Blue77
588315.8
850346.4
749718.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8610060801201401607977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+8Teleop
Endgame+4
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
12Coral scored#12
43Coral points43
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
0Processor points0
12Net points8
12Algae points8
55Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
6Foul points0
79Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.8
41.140.3
Auto9.4
Teleop34.5
End1.2
blue by 1.3
46.41.1
44.643.6
Auto6.5
Teleop30.3
End9.5
Second
6245
#17
17.30.8
19.318.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.0
blue by 1.6
7497
#31
18.91.7
25.924.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.8
End1.4
Third
9564
#26
13.40.8
17.116.3
Auto1.6
Teleop10.5
End1.3
blue by 2.4
5883
#22
15.81.7
19.918.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned