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Red79
858513.4
767320.3
752616.1
Blue73
802036.5
87909.3
1003414.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528102040601001201407973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+8Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +11
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
70Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#3
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
79Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7673
#28
20.30.4
15.716.1
Auto3.4
Teleop14.2
End2.7
blue by 16.3
36.51.7
40.238.5
Auto3.9
Teleop25.0
End7.6
Second
7526
#27
16.10.6
18.819.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.7
red by 1.2
14.81.7
14.512.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.1
Third
8585
#25
13.40.6
14.815.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.3
End1.1
red by 4.1
8790
#35
9.31.7
13.812.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsMissed