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Red74
699837.5
907923.0
858418.5
Blue119
859536.8
816928.9
912643.7
7%Model gave it93%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78117406010014016018074119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+55
Endgame+43
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave9
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +31
9Coral scored#15
33Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
51Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#5
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points2
74Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6998
#16
37.50.0
32.332.3
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
blue by 6.2
43.71.8
43.745.6
Auto13.9
Teleop27.6
End2.2
Second
23.00.0
22.622.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End5.6
blue by 13.8
36.81.8
30.432.2
Auto11.2
Teleop21.7
End3.9
Third
8584
#24
18.50.0
18.818.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End3.4
blue by 10.4
8169
#23
28.91.8
25.126.9
Auto4.5
Teleop23.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed