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Red81
1039011.8
749718.9
770945.1
Blue50
802036.5
858418.5
752616.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676902040801001201401608150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+35Teleop
+25Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
12Coral scored#5
42Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
56Total teleop25
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
6Foul points0
81Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.11.8
21.923.7
Auto9.4
Teleop34.5
End1.2
red by 8.6
36.51.1
24.823.7
Auto3.9
Teleop25.0
End7.6
Second
7497
#31
18.91.8
19.221.0
Auto3.6
Teleop13.8
End1.4
red by 0.4
8584
#24
18.51.1
17.216.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End3.4
Third
11.83.3
16.319.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
blue by 4.3
7526
#27
16.11.1
18.117.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned