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Red99
950141.1
758923.8
861350.4
Blue111
872539.6
763245.0
816928.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8384406010012014099111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+16
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +2
16Coral scored#16
58Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
84Total teleop86
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#25
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
99Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8613
#11
50.42.7
33.936.6
Auto10.1
Teleop34.7
End5.6
red by 5.5
45.04.4
25.329.7
Auto10.0
Teleop32.9
End2.0
Second
9501
#14
41.12.7
23.826.5
Auto5.8
Teleop31.8
End3.5
red by 1.5
39.64.4
24.729.0
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.4
Third
7589
#10
23.82.7
17.019.7
Auto3.9
Teleop19.3
End0.6
blue by 5.1
8169
#23
28.94.4
21.826.2
Auto4.5
Teleop23.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed