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Red92
912643.7
425347.1
300820.6
Blue47
1003414.8
763618.3
1011423.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1045601509247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+45Teleop
+33Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave6
5Coral scored#0
26Coral points0
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
9Coral scored#5
34Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
52Total teleop27
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
12Foul points0
92Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.11.1
37.536.4
Auto12.5
Teleop27.2
End7.5
red by 24.0
23.11.1
18.117.0
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End4.0
Second
43.71.5
24.723.2
Auto13.9
Teleop27.6
End2.2
red by 25.5
7636
#30
18.31.1
15.214.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End1.7
Third
3008
#29
20.61.5
23.021.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.5
End0.2
red by 5.8
14.81.1
17.216.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned