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Red50
713026.5
694729.1
971515.0
Blue84
872321.4
764527.8
859536.8
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6767204060801005084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+38
Endgame+30
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +24
3Coral scored#9
12Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
20Total teleop44
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points4
50Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6947
#13
29.11.3
26.825.5
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End4.9
blue by 7.7
36.82.1
21.523.6
Auto11.2
Teleop21.7
End3.9
Second
7130
#20
26.51.3
21.520.2
Auto5.4
Teleop18.3
End2.8
blue by 1.3
7645
#33
27.82.1
23.825.9
Auto6.2
Teleop19.4
End2.2
Third
9715
#34
15.01.3
13.211.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End1.8
blue by 6.5
8723
#37
21.42.1
13.115.2
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed