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Red35
767320.3
588315.8
856911.9
Blue100
907923.0
752616.1
1039011.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49652040608010035100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+5
Endgame+17
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +1
6Coral scored#4
21Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
25Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points48
35Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7673
#28
20.30.8
7.46.6
Auto3.4
Teleop14.2
End2.7
blue by 2.7
23.00.3
18.418.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End5.6
Second
5883
#22
15.81.1
23.021.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.5
blue by 0.3
7526
#27
16.10.3
17.016.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.7
Third
8569
#36
11.91.1
14.713.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End1.0
red by 0.1
11.80.3
19.619.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned