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Red73
758923.8
699837.5
872539.6
Blue135
749718.9
950141.1
942740.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7873406010012073135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+62
Endgame+60
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +16
3Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points26
10Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +46
11Coral scored#18
39Coral points63
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
0Processor points6
8Net points24
8Algae points30
47Total teleop93
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#9
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
12Foul points14
73Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.62.7
29.026.3
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.4
blue by 1.5
9501
#14
41.14.5
26.531.0
Auto5.8
Teleop31.8
End3.5
Second
6998
#16
37.52.7
21.819.1
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
blue by 3.0
9427
#19
40.64.5
19.524.0
Auto11.4
Teleop28.9
End0.3
Third
7589
#10
23.82.7
19.717.1
Auto3.9
Teleop19.3
End0.6
red by 4.9
7497
#31
18.94.5
21.025.5
Auto3.6
Teleop13.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed