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Red57
858418.5
1011423.1
859536.8
Blue117
713026.5
872539.6
802036.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741255010015020057117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+54
Endgame+58
Fouls+60
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +61
4Coral scored#16
16Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
22Total teleop83
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#6
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points2
57Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.81.7
32.230.6
Auto11.2
Teleop21.7
End3.9
blue by 2.8
39.61.0
39.840.8
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.4
Second
23.11.7
23.321.7
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End4.0
blue by 13.4
36.51.0
38.539.4
Auto3.9
Teleop25.0
End7.6
Third
8584
#24
18.51.7
18.817.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End3.4
blue by 8.0
7130
#20
26.51.0
26.727.7
Auto5.4
Teleop18.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned