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Red95
764527.8
816928.9
770945.1
Blue142
699837.5
767320.3
425347.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11010505015020025095142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+25
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
16Coral scored#16
59Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
12Processor points12
4Net points16
16Algae points28
75Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#5
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
95Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.2
40.340.1
Auto9.4
Teleop34.5
End1.2
blue by 2.0
47.13.3
44.547.8
Auto12.5
Teleop27.2
End7.5
Second
8169
#23
28.90.2
26.926.7
Auto4.5
Teleop23.9
End0.4
blue by 8.7
6998
#16
37.54.7
32.337.0
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Third
7645
#33
27.80.2
30.330.0
Auto6.2
Teleop19.4
End2.2
red by 7.6
7673
#28
20.33.3
16.119.4
Auto3.4
Teleop14.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned