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Red37
749718.9
856911.9
956413.4
Blue76
858513.4
300820.6
950141.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6686204060801001203776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+39
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +36
4Coral scored#10
16Coral points36
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
24Total teleop60
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
37Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7497
#31
18.91.7
21.619.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.8
End1.4
blue by 22.2
9501
#14
41.10.4
39.039.4
Auto5.8
Teleop31.8
End3.5
Second
9564
#26
13.41.9
16.314.5
Auto1.6
Teleop10.5
End1.3
blue by 7.3
3008
#29
20.60.4
14.314.7
Auto3.9
Teleop16.5
End0.2
Third
8569
#36
11.91.9
15.713.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End1.0
blue by 1.5
8585
#25
13.40.4
15.415.8
Auto3.0
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed