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Red108
763245.0
880522.2
802036.5
Blue117
858418.5
758923.8
850346.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13497406080120160180200108117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points18
9Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +1
18Coral scored#19
63Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
83Total teleop82
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#6
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
108Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.01.4
44.643.1
Auto10.0
Teleop32.9
End2.0
blue by 1.4
46.41.0
44.445.4
Auto6.5
Teleop30.3
End9.5
Second
36.51.4
39.438.0
Auto3.9
Teleop25.0
End7.6
red by 12.8
7589
#10
23.81.3
24.125.5
Auto3.9
Teleop19.3
End0.6
Third
8805
#32
22.21.4
22.821.4
Auto2.2
Teleop16.7
End3.3
red by 3.7
8584
#24
18.51.3
17.118.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned