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Red91
699837.5
770945.1
588315.8
Blue85
971515.0
425347.1
1003414.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10473501509185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+20Teleop
+14Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points30
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +31
16Coral scored#7
56Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
66Total teleop35
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points8
91Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.2
40.139.9
Auto9.4
Teleop34.5
End1.2
blue by 2.0
47.10.4
47.848.2
Auto12.5
Teleop27.2
End7.5
Second
6998
#16
37.50.2
37.036.8
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
red by 22.6
9715
#34
15.00.6
10.711.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End1.8
Third
5883
#22
15.80.2
16.215.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.5
red by 1.0
14.80.6
12.212.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsMissed