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Red84
880626.4
907923.0
872539.6
Blue49
752616.1
694729.1
764527.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1088340601001201401601808449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+17Teleop
+27Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +24
10Coral scored#6
37Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
12Processor points6
4Net points0
16Algae points6
53Total teleop29
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
8Foul points0
84Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.61.4
40.839.4
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.4
red by 10.5
6947
#13
29.12.6
29.526.9
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End4.9
Second
8806
#15
26.41.4
27.426.0
Auto3.9
Teleop17.3
End5.1
blue by 1.5
7645
#33
27.82.6
30.027.4
Auto6.2
Teleop19.4
End2.2
Third
23.01.4
23.922.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End5.6
red by 7.0
7526
#27
16.12.6
19.116.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed