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Red88
859536.8
858513.4
942740.6
Blue92
767320.3
861350.4
1039011.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9990501508892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+10
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave9
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +19
11Coral scored#14
38Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
48Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points0
88Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9427
#19
40.60.3
39.238.8
Auto11.4
Teleop28.9
End0.3
blue by 9.8
8613
#11
50.41.2
47.949.1
Auto10.1
Teleop34.7
End5.6
Second
36.80.3
30.630.2
Auto11.2
Teleop21.7
End3.9
red by 16.5
7673
#28
20.30.9
19.420.3
Auto3.4
Teleop14.2
End2.7
Third
8585
#25
13.40.3
15.815.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.3
End1.1
red by 1.6
11.81.2
11.112.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed