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Red72
752616.1
749718.9
425347.1
Blue126
694729.1
1003414.8
763245.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions949205015020072126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+26
Endgame+36
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points23
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +12
9Coral scored#14
32Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
54Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#8
3L3#3
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points18
72Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.10.8
48.247.4
Auto12.5
Teleop27.2
End7.5
red by 2.2
45.02.1
43.145.2
Auto10.0
Teleop32.9
End2.0
Second
7497
#31
18.91.0
19.918.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.8
End1.4
blue by 10.2
6947
#13
29.12.1
26.928.9
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End4.9
Third
7526
#27
16.11.0
16.415.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.7
red by 1.2
14.82.1
12.814.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned