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Red124
880626.4
764527.8
950141.1
Blue161
770945.1
859536.8
300820.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1049120406080120140160180124161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+43
Endgame+31
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points19
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +37
18Coral scored#26
64Coral points93
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
92Total teleop129
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#6
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#6
25Game pieces#38
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points6
124Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9501
#14
41.11.1
39.440.5
Auto5.8
Teleop31.8
End3.5
blue by 4.0
45.14.4
39.944.3
Auto9.4
Teleop34.5
End1.2
Second
7645
#33
27.81.1
27.428.5
Auto6.2
Teleop19.4
End2.2
blue by 9.0
36.84.4
30.234.7
Auto11.2
Teleop21.7
End3.9
Third
8806
#15
26.41.1
26.027.0
Auto3.9
Teleop17.3
End5.1
red by 5.8
3008
#29
20.64.4
14.719.1
Auto3.9
Teleop16.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed