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Red84
856911.9
850346.4
1011423.1
Blue73
816928.9
942740.6
1039011.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85892040601001201401608473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+1
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#10
48Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
58Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
84Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.40.3
45.445.7
Auto6.5
Teleop30.3
End9.5
red by 5.8
9427
#19
40.60.5
38.838.3
Auto11.4
Teleop28.9
End0.3
Second
23.10.3
23.023.4
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End4.0
blue by 5.7
8169
#23
28.90.5
28.127.6
Auto4.5
Teleop23.9
End0.4
Third
8569
#36
11.90.3
11.611.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End1.0
red by 0.1
11.80.5
12.311.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed