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Red104
956413.4
861350.4
872539.6
Blue69
907923.0
713026.5
767320.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1156905010015010469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+35Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
17Coral scored#7
61Coral points24
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
79Total teleop44
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
2Foul points0
104Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8613
#11
50.40.0
49.149.1
Auto10.1
Teleop34.7
End5.6
red by 23.9
7130
#20
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto5.4
Teleop18.3
End2.8
Second
39.60.0
39.439.4
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.4
red by 16.5
23.00.0
22.422.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End5.6
Third
9564
#26
13.40.0
13.313.4
Auto1.6
Teleop10.5
End1.3
blue by 6.9
7673
#28
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto3.4
Teleop14.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned