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Red63
87909.3
858418.5
872321.4
Blue86
880522.2
699837.5
763618.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions559202040801001201401606386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+31
Endgame+29
Fouls+23
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +31
8Coral scored#16
28Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
42Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points0
63Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8723
#37
21.40.1
20.820.8
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End1.0
blue by 16.1
6998
#16
37.50.0
36.836.9
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Second
8584
#24
18.50.1
18.518.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End3.4
blue by 3.7
8805
#32
22.20.0
21.421.4
Auto2.2
Teleop16.7
End3.3
Third
8790
#35
9.30.1
9.29.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 9.0
7636
#30
18.30.0
18.218.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed