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Red72
802036.5
912643.7
858513.4
Blue64
971515.0
624517.3
300820.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1245101001507264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+2
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +1
9Coral scored#9
33Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
49Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
72Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.72.1
44.642.4
Auto13.9
Teleop27.6
End2.2
red by 23.1
3008
#29
20.61.3
19.120.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.5
End0.2
Second
36.52.1
38.035.9
Auto3.9
Teleop25.0
End7.6
red by 19.3
6245
#17
17.31.5
15.717.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.0
Third
8585
#25
13.42.1
15.513.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.3
End1.1
blue by 1.6
9715
#34
15.01.5
11.312.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed