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Red141
880522.2
770945.1
850346.4
Blue74
880626.4
764527.8
758923.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140975015020014174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+51Teleop
+63Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +54
20Coral scored#7
73Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
12Processor points6
20Net points20
32Algae points26
105Total teleop51
Reef
10L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +67
6Foul points2
141Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.40.3
45.746.0
Auto6.5
Teleop30.3
End9.5
red by 18.6
7645
#33
27.80.4
28.528.1
Auto6.2
Teleop19.4
End2.2
Second
45.10.3
44.344.6
Auto9.4
Teleop34.5
End1.2
red by 18.7
8806
#15
26.40.4
27.026.6
Auto3.9
Teleop17.3
End5.1
Third
8805
#32
22.20.3
21.421.7
Auto2.2
Teleop16.7
End3.3
blue by 1.5
7589
#10
23.80.4
24.424.0
Auto3.9
Teleop19.3
End0.6