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Red121
880522.2
770945.1
850346.4
Blue172
816928.9
861350.4
912643.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132131100110120140150160170121172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+45
Endgame+57
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points30
19Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +31
15Coral scored#24
54Coral points87
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
12Processor points18
28Net points20
40Algae points38
94Total teleop125
Reef
6L4#13
5L3#8
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +51
6Foul points0
121Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.40.2
46.446.2
Auto6.5
Teleop30.3
End9.5
blue by 4.0
8613
#11
50.41.1
49.050.1
Auto10.1
Teleop34.7
End5.6
Second
45.10.3
45.144.9
Auto9.4
Teleop34.5
End1.2
red by 1.4
43.71.1
42.343.4
Auto13.9
Teleop27.6
End2.2
Third
8805
#32
22.20.3
22.322.0
Auto2.2
Teleop16.7
End3.3
blue by 6.7
8169
#23
28.91.1
27.528.6
Auto4.5
Teleop23.9
End0.4