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Red116
1011423.1
425347.1
763245.0
Blue131
300820.6
872539.6
694729.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1309120406080100120140160180116131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+33
Endgame+21
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave9
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points26
33Total auto35
TeleoperatedBlue +31
13Coral scored#17
47Coral points62
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
61Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#6
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +15
6Foul points0
116Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.10.1
47.347.1
Auto12.5
Teleop27.2
End7.5
red by 7.6
39.61.1
38.439.5
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.4
Second
45.00.1
45.145.0
Auto10.0
Teleop32.9
End2.0
red by 15.8
6947
#13
29.11.1
27.929.0
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End4.9
Third
23.10.1
23.323.1
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End4.0
red by 2.5
3008
#29
20.61.0
19.520.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.5
End0.2