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Red96
699837.5
802036.5
752616.1
Blue120
859536.8
942740.6
971515.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions939360708010011012013096120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+48
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave3
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points34
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +30
9Coral scored#17
31Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
51Total teleop81
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#9
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#28
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
96Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6998
#16
37.50.2
37.437.5
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
blue by 3.0
9427
#19
40.60.8
39.340.1
Auto11.4
Teleop28.9
End0.3
Second
36.50.2
36.436.5
Auto3.9
Teleop25.0
End7.6
blue by 0.3
36.80.8
35.636.4
Auto11.2
Teleop21.7
End3.9
Third
7526
#27
16.10.2
15.916.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.7
red by 1.1
9715
#34
15.00.8
13.714.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End1.8