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Red133
425347.1
1011423.1
763245.0
Blue135
816928.9
861350.4
912643.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231256080100140160180200133135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+10
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
7Coral scored#9
37Coral points46
40Total auto46
TeleoperatedBlue +4
15Coral scored#15
55Coral points53
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
79Total teleop83
Reef
6L4#11
8L3#5
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#30
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
133Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.10.4
46.847.3
Auto12.5
Teleop27.2
End7.5
blue by 3.3
8613
#11
50.40.4
48.649.0
Auto10.1
Teleop34.7
End5.6
Second
45.00.5
44.645.1
Auto10.0
Teleop32.9
End2.0
red by 1.2
43.70.4
41.942.3
Auto13.9
Teleop27.6
End2.2
Third
23.10.5
22.823.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End4.0
blue by 5.7
8169
#23
28.90.4
27.027.5
Auto4.5
Teleop23.9
End0.4