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Red161
880522.2
770945.1
850346.4
Blue109
699837.5
802036.5
752616.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13299406080120140160180200161109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +33
15Coral scored#16
55Coral points56
5Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
30Processor points12
28Net points12
58Algae points24
113Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#3
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +52
18Foul points0
161Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.40.5
46.046.4
Auto6.5
Teleop30.3
End9.5
red by 8.9
6998
#16
37.50.3
37.137.4
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Second
45.10.5
44.645.1
Auto9.4
Teleop34.5
End1.2
red by 8.6
36.50.3
36.136.4
Auto3.9
Teleop25.0
End7.6
Third
8805
#32
22.20.5
21.722.3
Auto2.2
Teleop16.7
End3.3
red by 6.2
7526
#27
16.10.3
15.615.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.7