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Red153
98776.9
6022.3
441481.6
Blue135
742665.5
300922.3
399062.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200163100150250153135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+4Teleop
+14Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
16Coral scored#20
58Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
12Processor points12
24Net points28
36Algae points40
94Total teleop111
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#7
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points2
153Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.60.8
82.581.6
Auto17.3
Teleop57.0
End7.4
red by 16.2
65.50.4
65.965.5
Auto18.2
Teleop39.4
End7.8
Second
987
#1
76.90.8
77.776.9
Auto22.3
Teleop45.1
End9.4
red by 14.5
62.40.4
62.862.4
Auto15.9
Teleop38.1
End8.4
Third
60
#29
22.30.8
23.122.3
Auto3.3
Teleop16.4
End2.6
Level
3009
#18
22.30.4
22.722.3
Auto2.3
Teleop14.9
End5.1