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Red187
98776.9
6022.3
441481.6
Blue143
742665.5
300922.3
399062.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201165100150250187143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+54Teleop
+40Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
9Coral scored#6
45Coral points30
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +33
25Coral scored#21
90Coral points77
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
128Total teleop95
Reef
13L4#8
10L3#6
4L2#7
7L1 · trough#6
42Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +44
6Foul points2
187Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.60.1
82.582.5
Auto17.3
Teleop57.0
End7.4
red by 16.2
65.50.2
66.165.9
Auto18.2
Teleop39.4
End7.8
Second
987
#1
76.90.1
77.777.7
Auto22.3
Teleop45.1
End9.4
red by 14.5
62.40.2
63.062.8
Auto15.9
Teleop38.1
End8.4
Third
60
#29
22.30.1
23.223.1
Auto3.3
Teleop16.4
End2.6
Level
3009
#18
22.30.2
23.022.7
Auto2.3
Teleop14.9
End5.1