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Red165
742665.5
300922.3
399062.4
Blue121
442153.9
822947.8
429.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172144100200250165121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points30
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +20
15Coral scored#12
55Coral points43
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
83Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +44
6Foul points2
165Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.50.2
66.066.1
Auto18.2
Teleop39.4
End7.8
red by 11.5
53.90.3
54.253.9
Auto14.0
Teleop32.4
End7.6
Second
62.40.2
62.863.0
Auto15.9
Teleop38.1
End8.4
red by 14.5
47.80.3
48.147.8
Auto10.5
Teleop29.9
End7.5
Third
3009
#18
22.30.2
22.823.0
Auto2.3
Teleop14.9
End5.1
blue by 7.3
4
#24
29.60.3
29.929.6
Auto3.7
Teleop23.7
End2.2