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Red129
138854.8
99121.7
242951.8
Blue143
442153.9
822947.8
429.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14715550100200250300129143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+12
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave6
7Coral scored#8
36Coral points38
36Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +4
15Coral scored#15
53Coral points55
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
18Processor points12
8Net points16
26Algae points28
79Total teleop83
Reef
10L4#7
4L3#6
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
129Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.80.0
54.754.8
Auto12.2
Teleop37.4
End5.2
red by 0.8
53.90.3
54.054.2
Auto14.0
Teleop32.4
End7.6
Second
51.80.0
51.851.8
Auto10.7
Teleop35.1
End6.0
red by 4.0
47.80.3
47.948.1
Auto10.5
Teleop29.9
End7.5
Third
991
#23
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End2.4
blue by 7.9
4
#24
29.60.3
29.629.9
Auto3.7
Teleop23.7
End2.2