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Red206
98776.9
6022.3
441481.6
Blue178
742665.5
300922.3
399062.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201164100150250206178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+34Teleop
+22Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
9Coral scored#8
44Coral points41
44Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +37
29Coral scored#19
106Coral points67
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
132Total teleop95
Reef
8L4#9
16L3#7
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#6
44Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +28
6Foul points0
206Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.60.4
82.182.5
Auto17.3
Teleop57.0
End7.4
red by 16.2
65.50.6
65.366.0
Auto18.2
Teleop39.4
End7.8
Second
987
#1
76.90.4
77.377.7
Auto22.3
Teleop45.1
End9.4
red by 14.5
62.40.6
62.262.8
Auto15.9
Teleop38.1
End8.4
Third
60
#29
22.30.4
22.823.2
Auto3.3
Teleop16.4
End2.6
Level
3009
#18
22.30.6
22.222.8
Auto2.3
Teleop14.9
End5.1