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Red167
138854.8
99121.7
242951.8
Blue134
718323.2
940037.6
450117.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1588550100200250167134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+27Teleop
+35Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
21Coral scored#19
76Coral points70
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
18Processor points18
20Net points16
38Algae points34
114Total teleop104
Reef
9L4#6
9L3#5
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#29
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +33
6Foul points8
167Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.80.5
54.354.7
Auto12.2
Teleop37.4
End5.2
red by 17.2
9400
#15
37.60.8
36.837.6
Auto5.2
Teleop31.7
End0.7
Second
51.80.5
51.451.8
Auto10.7
Teleop35.1
End6.0
red by 28.6
7183
#14
23.20.8
22.423.2
Auto2.4
Teleop19.3
End1.6
Third
991
#23
21.70.5
21.221.7
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End2.4
red by 3.8
4501
#34
17.90.8
17.217.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End-0.5