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Red169
99121.7
585146.4
742665.5
Blue47
98814.4
949818.4
450117.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14459010020016947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+102Teleop
+102Endgame
+122Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave6
6Coral scored#0
31Coral points0
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +71
24Coral scored#6
88Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
106Total teleop35
Reef
7L4#2
11L3#2
8L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +122
20Foul points0
169Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.51.1
60.061.1
Auto18.2
Teleop39.4
End7.8
red by 47.1
9498
#45
18.43.0
22.619.7
Auto2.7
Teleop14.2
End1.5
Second
5851
#13
46.41.1
39.840.9
Auto6.4
Teleop38.5
End1.5
red by 28.4
4501
#34
17.92.4
20.418.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End-0.5
Third
991
#23
21.71.1
16.217.2
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End2.4
red by 7.3
988
#25
14.42.0
14.412.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed