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Red99
928718.3
718323.2
105635.4
Blue24
682513.2
838720.4
300922.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66622040801009924

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+71Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +61
15Coral scored#3
53Coral points12
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
77Total teleop16
Reef
9L4#1
5L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#5
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
99Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1056
#12
35.43.3
23.526.8
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End3.3
red by 13.1
3009
#18
22.31.9
19.918.0
Auto2.3
Teleop14.9
End5.1
Second
7183
#14
23.23.3
7.911.2
Auto2.4
Teleop19.3
End1.6
red by 2.8
8387
#20
20.43.2
17.414.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.4
Third
9287
#26
18.35.4
18.624.0
Auto2.5
Teleop15.2
End0.7
red by 5.2
6825
#37
13.23.2
15.612.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed